Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Salernitana
35.3%
Draw
30.0%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Salernitana
vs
0.86
Benevento
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.582.4%
Over 1.555.5%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.6%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.1%
0-1
12.8%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).