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14 Sept 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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82.5%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
10.0%
Draw
7.5%
Wingate & Finchley

Expected Goals (xG)

3.61

Wolverhampton Wanderers

vs
1.12

Wingate & Finchley

Markets

BTTS65.6%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.9%
Over 2.585.1%
Over 3.569.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
7.8%
4-1
7.0%
3-0
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
4-0
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
5-1
5.1%
5-0
4.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-2
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
1-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).