Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Maidenhead
31.1%
Draw
33.7%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Maidenhead
vs
1.10
Barrow
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).