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HHT: 11CSV

04 Feb 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Kaiserslautern
25.9%
Draw
27.3%
Holstein Kiel

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Kaiserslautern

vs
1.27

Holstein Kiel

Markets

BTTS60.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).