Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.3%
Eibar
26.4%
Draw
18.3%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Eibar
vs
0.72
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.1%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).