Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Leganes
31.5%
Draw
24.3%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Leganes
vs
0.73
Logrones
Markets
BTTS34.4%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).