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HHT: 10CSV

23 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.5%
Torino
22.1%
Draw
59.4%
Atalanta

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Torino

vs
1.85

Atalanta

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).