Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.2%
Carlisle
23.0%
Draw
52.9%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Carlisle
vs
1.72
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.0%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
5.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).