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AHT: 11CSV

07 Aug 2021 · 15:00

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Preston
27.6%
Draw
37.0%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Preston

vs
1.37

Hull

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
7.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).