Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.7%
Southend
28.4%
Draw
25.9%
Forest Green
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Southend
vs
1.04
Forest Green
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).