Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Wisła Płock
27.2%
Draw
39.3%
Lechia Gdańsk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Wisła Płock
vs
1.47
Lechia Gdańsk
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).