Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Fleetwood Town
26.4%
Draw
49.0%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.39
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
9.9%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).