Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Larisa
27.0%
Draw
24.6%
Giannina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Larisa
vs
1.09
Giannina
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).