Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.9%
Heidenheim
20.7%
Draw
15.4%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Heidenheim
vs
1.05
Dresden
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
0-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).