Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.0%
York
11.3%
Draw
7.7%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
3.53
York
vs
1.14
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS66.3%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.595.0%
Over 2.584.4%
Over 3.568.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.8%
4-1
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
4-0
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
5-1
4.9%
3-2
4.5%
5-0
4.3%
1-1
4.1%
4-2
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).