Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Sheffield United
25.0%
Draw
17.3%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Sheffield United
vs
0.85
Luton
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).