Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.0%
Sheffield United
11.3%
Draw
83.6%
Manchester City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Sheffield United
vs
3.27
Manchester City
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.577.2%
Over 3.558.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
10.0%
0-2
9.1%
0-4
8.2%
1-3
8.0%
1-2
7.3%
1-4
6.5%
0-5
5.3%
1-1
5.1%
0-1
5.0%
1-5
4.3%
2-3
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).