Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Barnet
28.6%
Draw
39.1%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Barnet
vs
1.13
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).