Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.1%
Sheffield Weds
27.8%
Draw
58.1%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.51
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.2%
0-2
13.6%
0-0
12.9%
1-1
12.0%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
0-4
2.6%
2-2
2.6%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).