Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Besiktas
21.4%
Draw
8.4%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Besiktas
vs
0.74
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
1-1
10.3%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
2-2
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).