Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Lazio
17.4%
Draw
12.3%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Lazio
vs
0.85
Crotone
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).