Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Hull
25.2%
Draw
36.9%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Hull
vs
1.58
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.539.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
2-0
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
0-0
5.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).