Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Basford United
20.8%
Draw
18.9%
Three Bridges
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Basford United
vs
1.00
Three Bridges
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).