Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.6%
Fleetwood Town
24.1%
Draw
22.3%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
Fleetwood Town
vs
0.85
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).