Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Queens Park Rangers
28.6%
Draw
29.8%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.14
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.5%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).