Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.8%
Notts County
10.6%
Draw
4.5%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
3.19
Notts County
vs
0.69
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.574.3%
Over 3.554.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
4-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
6.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-0
5.7%
1-1
5.0%
5-1
3.9%
3-2
2.7%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).