Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Varaždin
30.7%
Draw
24.5%
Istra 1961
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Varaždin
vs
0.94
Istra 1961
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).