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22 Feb 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.6%
Cremonese
22.4%
Draw
15.0%
Vicenza

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Cremonese

vs
0.91

Vicenza

Markets

BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).