Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.9%
Lorient
19.7%
Draw
10.4%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Lorient
vs
0.51
Bastia
Markets
BTTS32.6%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-0
9.7%
0-0
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.0%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
2.3%
4-1
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).