Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.0%
Guingamp
20.6%
Draw
19.3%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Guingamp
vs
0.93
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
3.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).