⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 11CSV

13 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
38.9%
Fleetwood Town
25.9%
Draw
35.2%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Fleetwood Town

vs
1.22

Walsall

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).