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AHT: 11CSV

20 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.2%
Edinburgh City
20.2%
Draw
58.5%
Annan Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Edinburgh City

vs
2.37

Annan Athletic

Markets

BTTS68.7%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.2%
1-3
7.2%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.1%
2-3
5.0%
0-1
5.0%
1-4
4.2%
0-4
3.0%
2-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).