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31 Aug 2025 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.3%
Granada
24.3%
Draw
19.4%
Mirandes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Granada

vs
0.85

Mirandes

Markets

BTTS45.9%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).