Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.9%
Leeds
24.3%
Draw
59.7%
Arsenal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Leeds
vs
1.94
Arsenal
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
7.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
1-0
3.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).