Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Vicenza
28.6%
Draw
27.4%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Vicenza
vs
1.10
Crotone
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).