Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.9%
Dorking
28.8%
Draw
39.3%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Dorking
vs
1.35
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).