Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.8%
Augsburg
26.0%
Draw
17.3%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Augsburg
vs
0.80
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).