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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.3%
Hanworth Villa
26.3%
Draw
30.4%
Knaphill

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Hanworth Villa

vs
1.08

Knaphill

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.3%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).