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DHT: 11CSV

23 Jan 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.1%
Bradford
24.3%
Draw
25.6%
Salford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Bradford

vs
1.03

Salford

Markets

BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).