Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.5%
Bordeaux
22.3%
Draw
18.2%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Bordeaux
vs
0.78
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).