Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.1%
Baltika Kaliningrad
30.3%
Draw
13.6%
Dinamo Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.56
Dinamo Moskva
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.530.8%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
15.6%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
0-2
2.2%
4-0
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).