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AHT: 04CSV

10 Jan 2026 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.5%
Leverkusen
24.8%
Draw
28.7%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

Leverkusen

vs
1.36

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS62.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).