Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Lazio
23.4%
Draw
60.6%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Lazio
vs
1.68
Inter
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).