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13 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.9%
Dunston
29.3%
Draw
16.8%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Dunston

vs
0.55

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS29.9%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.553.4%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.510.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
21.0%
0-0
16.1%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
11.0%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
2-2
2.0%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).