Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Villarreal
18.5%
Draw
12.1%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Villarreal
vs
0.85
Leganes
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).