Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.3%
Chievo
26.6%
Draw
16.1%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Chievo
vs
0.76
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
12.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
6.7%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).