Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.7%
AFC Wimbledon
23.3%
Draw
52.0%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
AFC Wimbledon
vs
1.57
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
11.0%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).