Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Milan
20.1%
Draw
9.7%
Venezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
Milan
vs
0.53
Venezia
Markets
BTTS34.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
2-0
15.9%
3-0
10.0%
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).