Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.2%
Santa Clara
25.8%
Draw
56.9%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Santa Clara
vs
1.45
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS36.1%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.2%
0-2
12.8%
0-0
11.7%
1-1
11.1%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.0%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
2.7%
2-0
2.6%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).