Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.5%
Parma
23.1%
Draw
22.4%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Parma
vs
1.04
Crotone
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).